New Mexico State
New Mexico State University · 2026 · Conference USA
New Mexico State is 1-2 and ranked 120th in overall efficiency. Their 117th-ranked offense is the engine, backed by a 123rd-ranked defense. They pass the ball on 56% of offensive plays with a 101st-ranked passing attack and run the ball on the remaining 44% of plays with a 107th-ranked rushing attack.
Quadrant record
By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.
Projected wins
Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.
The resume
Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).
| Wk | Opponent | Conf | Opp rank | Result | Exp. margin | Win prob | GameScore | Quad |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | @ Florida State | ACC | #49 | L 17–34 | -23.1 | 0% | -8.6 | Q2 |
| 1 | vs Mercyhurst | NEC | — | W 51–14 | +28.7 | 100% | -14.1 | Q4 |
| 2 | @ Hawai'i | Mountain West | #116 | L 19–29 | -4.2 | 0% | -18.8 | Q4 |
| 4 | vs New Mexico | Mountain West | #61 | Preview | -14.4 | 20% | — | Q4 |
| 5 | vs Western Kentucky | Conference USA | #133 | Preview | +8.3 | 69% | — | Q4 |
| 6 | @ FIU | Conference USA | #100 | Preview | -9.3 | 29% | — | Q4 |
| 8 | @ Sam Houston | Conference USA | #123 | Preview | -2.5 | 44% | — | Q4 |
| 9 | vs Jacksonville State | Conference USA | #85 | Preview | -7.5 | 33% | — | Q4 |
| 10 | vs Liberty | Conference USA | #117 | Preview | +1.6 | 54% | — | Q4 |
| 11 | @ Missouri State | Conference USA | #99 | Preview | -9.8 | 28% | — | Q4 |
| 12 | vs Delaware | Conference USA | #82 | Preview | -8.3 | 31% | — | Q4 |
| 13 | @ Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | #111 | Preview | -6.9 | 34% | — | Q4 |
3 played · 1-2. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.
The season
The model’s read on New Mexico State, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.
Passing & rushing
Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.
Their offense vs. what their defense allows.
Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.
What kind of team is this?
Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.
Field position 76th · Finishing 120th
Field position 126th · Finishing 113th
1.82 points per drive on offense, 2.20 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 25.
Play-calling & efficiency
What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.
| Quarter (att.) | Pass / rush | Success | Yd/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1(38) | 50% / 50% | 42% | 5.3 |
| Q2(59) | 58% / 42% | 39% | 6.6 |
| Q3(47) | 45% / 55% | 47% | 5.9 |
| Q4(48) | 65% / 35% | 56% | 8.6 |
| Down (att.) | Avg. to go | Success | Yd/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st(45) | 10.4 | 51% | 10.0 |
| 2nd(32) | 7.3 | 31% | 3.1 |
| 3rd(25) | 8.0 | 48% | 11.0 |
| 4th(3) | 2.0 | 33% | 2.0 |
| All (105) | — | 44% | 7.9 |
| Down (att.) | Avg. to go | Success | Yd/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st(43) | 9.8 | 42% | 4.9 |
| 2nd(28) | 6.8 | 50% | 6.2 |
| 3rd(14) | 4.9 | 64% | 4.8 |
| 4th(2) | 1.5 | 50% | 1.5 |
| All (87) | — | 48% | 5.2 |
New Mexico State, all games.